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Huang Wentao of China CITIC Construction Investment Co., Ltd. and others: It is estimated that deficit ratio will rise to over 4% in 2025, and it is expected that the stock and debt will continue. On December 9th, the Political Bureau of the Central Committee held a meeting to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Huang Wentao, chief economist of CITIC Jiantou, and Liu Tianyu, macro analyst of CITIC Jiantou, believe that the policy tone of this Politburo meeting is quite proactive, which shows that the central government has made a full assessment and policy reserve for the pressures and risks that may be encountered in economic development next year, which has strongly echoed the expectations of economic entities. Huang Wentao and Liu Tianyu pointed out that GDP growth in the fourth quarter is expected to reach more than 5.2%, achieving the expected goal of annual economic growth of around 5%. On this basis, the annual growth target of about 5% will also be the basic premise of policy discussion in the next few years. Since the fourth quarter of this year, the fiscal policy has been continuously overweight. This time, the fiscal policy is set to be "more active", which indicates that the fiscal policy will expand again. It is estimated that deficit ratio will increase to over 4% in 2025. Both stocks and debts are expected to continue. Unconventional countercyclical adjustment policies not only provide sufficient impetus for the recovery of economic vitality, but also provide strong support for improving expectations and reviving confidence, and provide sufficient source of living water for the capital market. The stock market is expected to continue to strengthen and the risk-free rate of return is expected to continue to decline.Afternoon comments on Hong Kong stocks: Hang Seng Index rose by 1.00%, Hang Seng Technology Index rose by 0.79%, and Hong Kong stocks opened higher and fell back. By midday, Hang Seng Index rose by 1.00% and Hang Seng Technology Index rose by 0.79%. On the first day of listing, Mao Geping rose by 78.19%, and it rose by over 5%. Shang Tang fell more than 4%.Tang Hui, former member of the Standing Committee of Anshun Municipal Committee of Guizhou Province, was "double-opened", and the website of the State Supervision Committee of the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection was notified on December 10. According to the news of the Supervision Committee of Guizhou Provincial Commission for Discipline Inspection, with the approval of Guizhou Provincial Committee, the Supervision Committee of Guizhou Provincial Commission for Discipline Inspection filed a case review and investigation on Tang Hui, former member of the Standing Committee of Anshun Municipal Committee of Guizhou Province and former secretary of Xixiu District Committee.

Huang Wentao of China CITIC Construction Investment Co., Ltd. and others: It is estimated that deficit ratio will rise to over 4% in 2025, and it is expected that the stock and debt will continue. On December 9th, the Political Bureau of the Central Committee held a meeting to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Huang Wentao, chief economist of CITIC Jiantou, and Liu Tianyu, macro analyst of CITIC Jiantou, believe that the policy tone of this Politburo meeting is quite proactive, which shows that the central government has made a full assessment and policy reserve for the pressures and risks that may be encountered in economic development next year, which has strongly echoed the expectations of economic entities. Huang Wentao and Liu Tianyu pointed out that GDP growth in the fourth quarter is expected to reach more than 5.2%, achieving the expected goal of annual economic growth of around 5%. On this basis, the annual growth target of about 5% will also be the basic premise of policy discussion in the next few years. Since the fourth quarter of this year, the fiscal policy has been continuously overweight. This time, the fiscal policy is set to be "more active", which indicates that the fiscal policy will expand again. It is estimated that deficit ratio will increase to over 4% in 2025. Both stocks and debts are expected to continue. Unconventional countercyclical adjustment policies not only provide sufficient impetus for the recovery of economic vitality, but also provide strong support for improving expectations and reviving confidence, and provide sufficient source of living water for the capital market. The stock market is expected to continue to strengthen and the risk-free rate of return is expected to continue to decline.Research Report: In the third quarter, the installed capacity of traction inverters for electric vehicles in China accounted for 61% of the world. According to the latest research of TrendForce Jibang Consulting, the total installed capacity of traction inverters for electric vehicles in the third quarter of 2024 reached 6.87 million, which was 7% higher than that in the same period last year, but the growth rate has been reduced. In the competition pattern of first-class suppliers, BYD benefited from the hot sales of its models. In the third quarter, the installed market share of traction inverter increased by 1% to 18%, surpassing Denso of Japanese factory for the first time and becoming the company with the highest market share. The market share of Huichuan Technology has also increased to 6%, which shows that the competitiveness of China manufacturers in this field continues to increase. Generally speaking, China manufacturers, Japanese manufacturers and Tesla together account for half of the global installed capacity, while the influence of European and American manufacturers is gradually weakening. TrendForce Jibang Consulting indicated that the regional differentiation of traction inverters is becoming more and more obvious, with the installed capacity in China accounting for 61% of the global total. Under the pressure of shrinking market, Europe is actively reforming and cutting expenditure to enhance the competitiveness of the electric vehicle industry chain. In the short term, the stable demand in China market will continue to support the growth of traction inverter market. In the long run, if the European automobile industry chain can be successfully reformed, it will help boost the overall performance of the global traction inverter and electric vehicle market.Violation of equity incentive plan? Tesla was fined 70,000 yuan. Recently, Tesla Motors (Beijing) Co., Ltd. was fined 70,000 yuan by the Beijing Branch of the State Administration of Foreign Exchange for violating foreign exchange registration regulations. The types of illegal acts involve Articles 2 and 8 of the Notice of the State Administration of Foreign Exchange on Relevant Issues Concerning Domestic Individuals Participating in Foreign Exchange Management of Equity Incentive Plans of Overseas Listed Companies. According to the above law, the equity incentive plan of Tesla Motors (Beijing) Co., Ltd. may be illegal. (21 Finance)

Reserve Bank of Australia President Brock: The policy needs to be carefully considered. Recent data are mixed and somewhat weak.With the return of high dividend assets, the market pays attention to the investment value of dividend sector. The Standard & Poor's dividend ETF(562060) rose by 1.07% at midday. By midday on December 10th, the standard & poor's dividend ETF(562060) rose by 1.07%, with a turnover of 20,646,600 yuan. The constituent stocks rose strongly, with Yongxing Materials rising by 3.73%, Aopu Technology rising by 2.12%, Lu 'an Huaneng rising by 2%, Gaoce shares and Jianfa shares rising one after another. In the news, recently, the strong performance of China bond market led to the decline of the yield of 10-year treasury bonds, which fell below the key point of 2.0%, and the dividend assets in the A-share market ushered in an upward trend. Insiders pointed out that the decline in the cost performance of bond allocation is a long-term dimensional reason for supporting the dominance of the dividend sector. With the continuous decline of the yield of 10-year treasury bonds, institutional investors' confirmation of the long-term low interest rate environment will be conducive to the continuous excavation of the value of dividend assets.